The future of the World Wide Web

The future of the World Wide Web
Jim Hendler
Professor of Computer and Cognitive Science
Assistant Dean of Information Technology and Web Science
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI)
http://www.cs.rpi.edu/~hendler
@jahendler (twitter)
The innovators
The inventors
They have made the Web what
it is today
And on and on and on…
In the News
Today!
Reports FB could go
IPO as early as
Wednesday!
(valuation: 5 lakh crore)₹
•
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I6IQ_FOCE6I

In fact, we have made it to“Web
2.0”
•
It is estimated that ~31% of the world
’s
population uses the World Wide Web
–
With most of China and India still to come (>2B non-
users)
–
And this number is growing as cell phones and mobile
Web technologies become increasingly usable as
primary browser platforms
•
With social networking sites, esp.
Facebook and the Chinese sites, becoming
the primary Web destinations
–
Sharing taking over from searching
•
just ask Vic Gundotra (IIT Madras), Google’s
VP of
Social
But we’re moving on…
What will Web 3.0 be?
•
Big data, Linked-data, Cloud- and mobile-
computing are changing the world
•
We Don’t know how these trends will play
out
–
Web: Google, Amazon, Travelocity…
–
Web 2.0: Facebook, Wikipedia, YouTube,
Twitter…
–
Web 3.0: ??
•
Let me make a few predictions
An exciting time of change
•
Web 2.0 is becoming Web 3.0
–
But nobody is sure what that will be
•
My conjecture Web 1.0 + Web 2.0 = Web
3.0
–
Social Web will become the basis of the New
Web
•
Changing Search
•
Changing E-commerce
•
Changing E-Science, E-government, E-everything
else
•
Social Media => Social Machines!
Trend 1:
Social Media => Social
Machines
Computers can help if we use
them to create abstract
social
machines
on the Web:
processes
in which the people do the
creative work and the machine
does the administration
…
Berners-Lee,
Weaving the Web
,
1999
Social Machine: Games
Turning your fun into their money!
Social Machine: Science
Millions of galaxies classified
The whole “
Zooniverse
”
Social machine research
Web 3.0 and Social Machines
•
See Trend 1
Social Data
Goes Here
Tetherless World Constellation

Government Data Sharing: Year 2
Tetherless World Constellation

Government Data Sharing: Year 3
2012 so far:
http://www.gouv.fr
Released 300,000 French
databases
US/India to release Open
Government Platform
Kenya announces “Open Africa”
project
Distribution Statement
Communities consuming Open Government Data
Social Machine: Government
Social Machine:
Improving Government
Mobile Web
Trend 2:
Mobile goes Social
Mobile + Social
•
The device formerly known as a cell phone
–
Knows me
•
where I am now
•
where I was yesterday (and a bunch of days before)
•
where I'll be tomorrow (and into my planned future)
•
What my environment is like
–
Am I moving or still; quiet or noisy;
•
who and what I like
•
whose opinions I trust
•
how I like to see things
•
what other dfkcp's are around (and who they belong to)
•
…
–
Knows what is out there and how to get it
•
That whole data cloud thing, remember Web 3.0 back in the
2010s
Tetherless World
Trend 3: Speech is finally
(almost) here
Two Way Machine Translation
By 2020 you will be able to talk to me in Hindi
औऔ औऔऔ औऔऔऔऔऔऔऔ औऔऔ औऔऔऔ
औऔऔऔऔ
using just our machines formerly known as cell phones
Trend 4: Bigger and Bigger data
Exponential Data growth
•
In 2012 we will ge
nerate more data than in
the whole previou
s

history of humankind
–
In 2013 we will do
that again
–
In 2014 we will do
that again
–
…
Trend 5:
Semantic, Linked Data is
coming
Crazy (sort of) Prediction
•
Something unlikely
will make things
exciting all over again
–
Machines that function
like the brain
–
Machines that
interface to the brain
–
Quantum computers
that can change the
basis of parallel
computing
Prediction 7: (A safe bet)
IIT Kharagpur
IIT, Roorkee
IIT, Madras
BHU
Some 2000 – 2010 Famous Webbies
Future Famous Webbies?
You
are the future of the Web!
•
Right Place
–
India is becoming a major Web power
•
Right Age
–
You are a digital native
•
Right Fields
–
Engineer/Computer Scientist/Engineer
•
BUT EVEN MORE IMPORTANTLY…
WE
are the Web!
•
Right Species:
–
The network of people is the future of the
World Wide Web
–
And that future has started already
Questions?